This guide has been prepared by PricewaterhouseCoopers
on behalf of the United Nations Conference on Trade and
Development (UNCTAD) and the International Chamber of
Commerce (ICC). It comes with a companion volume which is
a more informal publication, prepared under the auspices
of the Ethiopian Investment Authority, and which provides
a listing of specific investment opportunities.
The purpose of this booklet is to provide a basis from
which potential investors to Ethiopia may gain:
- a broad overview of the current investment
opportunities and prevailing socio-economic and
political conditions of Ethiopia; and
- general guidance on the necessary legal and other
issues related to undertaking investment in
Ethiopia.
The guide focuses on Ethiopias emerging role as
a location for investment and on the key issues likely to
be faced by potential investors. It is intended only to
give an initial flavour of the Ethiopian market and to
encourage potential investors to take a closer look at
investment opportunities in the country.
With a population of 60 million, growing at a rate of
3% pa, Ethiopia is the second most populous country in
sub-Saharan Africa (after Nigeria). Ethiopia is one of
the oldest nations in the world and its people have an
ancient culture and deep-rooted values. The country has
one of the lowest crime rates in Africa.
Although the gross national product (GNP) per capita
of $1101 per head is low, it is growing, and
Ethiopia ranks as the fifth-largest US export market in
sub-Saharan Africa, after South Africa, Nigeria, Angola
and Ghana. In 1997, the total GNP at current market
prices was about $6.5 billion.
| 1 |
In this text '$' stands for
'US$'. |
 |
"The
main enemies of the people of Ethiopia are
poverty and backwardness. The Government of the
Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia has put
in place a comprehensive programme of peace,
democracy and development as cardinal elements of
the development policy of the country aimed at
eliminating these twin enemies. This is because
we know, more than anything else, that from each
and every peaceful day Ethiopia is a net
beneficiary." Melesse
ZENAWI
Prime Minister of Ethiopia
May 1998
|
Economically, the agricultural sector,
consisting mostly of small privately owned farms,
accounts for about half of the countrys GDP, 80% of
its exports, and 85% of total employment.
Agri-processing, manufacturing and service industries
are, however, all growing in importance.
Ethiopia also has potential as a base for exporters,
with flows of goods both into the Middle East and into
other parts of Africa increasing significantly in recent
years.
Recent analysis by UNCTAD has shown that Africa as a
whole has become a profitable region for foreign direct
investment (FDI), delivering significantly higher returns
on investment than other developing regions in the world
for US corporations (see Table 1).
Table 1: Rates of Returna
on US FDI in Africab and
Selected Regions 1994-1997 (%)
| Region |
1994 |
1995 |
1996 |
1997 |
| Africa Total |
24.6 |
35.3 |
34.2 |
25.3 |
| - Primary |
23.9 |
34.2 |
36.9 |
NA |
| - Manufacturing |
30.0 |
42.8 |
21.3 |
NA |
| - Tertiary |
21.7 |
21.6 |
23.1 |
NA |
| - Other |
44.1 |
35.0 |
17.4 |
NA |
| Asia |
18.4 |
20.2 |
19.3 |
16.2 |
| Latin
America |
15.3 |
13.1 |
12.8 |
12.5 |
| Source:
|
UNCTAD, Foreign Direct
Investment in Africa: Performance and
Potential, 1999, table 3. |
|
| a |
The rate of return is
calculated as the net income of US
foreign affiliates in a given year
divided by the average of
beginning-of-year and end-of-year FDI
stock. |
| b |
The Africa Total
figures exclude South Africa. Figures for
sectors include South Africa. For further
information, see UNCTAD, Foreign
Direct Investment in Africa: Performance
and Potential, 1999. |
|
The levels of return on investment by
Japanese multinational corporations have also been
substantial, outstripping those on investments in Europe,
South-East Asia and North America (see Table 2).
Table 2: Profitabilitya
of Foreign Affiliates of Japanese TNCs
by Selected Host Region 1995
Region
|
%
|
| Africa |
5.7 |
| South
and South-East Asia |
2.9 |
| Europe |
0.8 |
| Latin
America and the Caribbean |
7.7 |
| North America |
1.1 |
| Pacific |
1.9 |
| West Asia |
12.6 |
| World |
1.9 |
| Source:
|
Based on
UNCTAD, Foreign Direct Investment
in Africa: Performance and
Potential, 1999, Figure 6. |
|
| a |
Current income
divided by sales. |
|
|
| "Our company has
long-established business relations with
Ethiopia, especially in providing the
agricultural estates with quality inputs
for their production. As private
distribution is gaining in importance, we
are assisting local private distributors
in their efforts to bring the products
closer to small-scale farmers. The first
business results in private distribution
are encourageing and new opportunities
have been created." Rudolf
Guyer, Head of BI Africa, Novartis
|
|
Despite this track record, Ethiopia
as is the case with Africa generally has
secured only modest levels of FDI compared to developing
countries elsewhere in the world. The recent policy
reforms and the introduction of a liberal investment code
have opened the way for Ethiopia to attract substantially
more foreign investment in the future. The key factors
relevant to inward investment in Ethiopia are described
in Table 3 below:
Table
3: Ethiopia at a Glance : Key Factors for Foreign
Investors
Strengths
- One-stop shop for new
investment approvals
- Domestic market of 60
million people
- Liberalisation of the
economy
- Strong growth record in
recent years
- Fiscal stability and low
inflation
- Democratic national
government
- Tax incentives
- High employer satisfaction
with labour as compared to the rest of
Africa
- Membership of the Lomé
Convention
|
Opportunities
- State privatisation
programmes
- Infrastructure
development, including telecommunications
- Agriculture and related
businesses
- Mining and resource
development
- Manufacturing
- Tourism
- Access to other regional
markets
|
Weaknesses
- Landlocked area with weak
communications/infrastructure
- High level of illiteracy
- One of the lowest
telephone densities in the world
- Less than 4% of population
currently supplied with electricity and
only 25% with access to safe water
- Low purchasing power of
population
|
Threats
- Continuing war with
Eritrea
- Increased competition from
other nations in Africa
- Slow take-up of
privatisation opportunities
- Failure to resolve some
compensation claims arising from the
period of the military government
|
Message
from Mr Y Ishimaru, Corporate Vice-President, Director,
Chief Executive for Europe and Africa, Marubeni
Corporation, Japan Managing Director, Marubeni Europe
plc:
"Ethiopia
is a land of rich potential, not least of which is the
high calibre of its human resources and its
governments determination for the economy to
flourish. Having opened our Addis Ababa office over forty
years ago, we have many years experience in
Ethiopia and well understand the need for sustained
effort and a realistic long-term perspective in doing
business there. We remain firmly committed to the country
and believe that, given continued determination, Ethiopia
will realise its goal of "Agricultural
development-led Industrialisation". We look forward
to contributing to the nations bright future."
Government
Commitment
There has been a major positive change over the past
six or seven years in the governments attitude
towards private investment in general and foreign
investment in particular. The government recognises the
vital role foreign investment can play in the national
economic development process, especially by bringing
capital, technology and know-how into the country and by
strengthening linkages and promoting regional
development. The Ethiopian Investment Authority (EIA) has
been established to provide a one-stop shop to facilitate
entry of foreign investors. In order to encourage,
promote and expand foreign investment, the Ethiopian
Government has also undertaken a wide range of economic
reform programmes with two main agendas to shift
from a command to a market economy and progressively to
place the Ethiopian economy under the rigorous discipline
of international competition.
Over the period 1992/93 to 1998/99 the EIA approved
163 foreign investment projects, of which 21 have become
operational and 49 are under implementation. These have
included the five-star Sheraton Addis Hotel, a major
brewery investment by a French firm, British investments
in shoe manufacturing and US investments in edible oils
and bottling. The largest privatisation investment (some
$172 million) to date, the Lega Dembi Gold Mine, was by a
Saudi investor. The main business sectors in which
Ethiopia is seeking foreign investment are:
- manufacturing industries (including food,
beverages, chemicals and pharmaceuticals,
plastics, metallic and non-metallic products,
paper products, leather and leather products,
textiles and garments);
- agriculture, including agri-business and
processing for exports;
- real estate development;
- education and health services;
- grade 1 construction contracting;
- mining and quarrying of gold, marble and granite;
and
- engineering and management consultancy.
The government is keen to develop and broaden this
foreign investment base and the rest of this guide
provides an overview of investment opportunities, current
economic conditions and the steps required to make an
investment in Ethiopia.
|